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WJB Trades Intelligence
MARKET ALPHA &
CONTINUITY REPORT
TheStrat Framework · Full Category Breakdown · 2-Min Alert Protocol
MON APR 13 · 2026
13 setups · 5 categories · static
HIGH VEGA / GAMMA ENV
🚨 ACTIVE MACRO CATALYST: U.S. Navy Hormuz blockade live 10:00 AM ET. Iran talks collapsed. WTI +8% above $104. CPI 3.3% — highest since May 2024. DXY at 98.79 multi-week lows. Size starter positions only. Manage Vega exposure aggressively.
SPY
$679
▼ −0.40%
52W $508–$698
QQQ
$611
▲ +0.14%
Bounced $582 key
WTI OIL
$104
▲ +8.0%
Brent ~$101–103
GOLD XAU
$4,733
▼ −0.71%
+47% YoY · OTE zone
BTC
$71.6K
▼ −1.80%
Best wk since Oct '25
DXY
98.79
▼ Multi-wk low
EUR/USD ~1.1520
📈Equities
4 setups
RS Leader Today
ORCL
Oracle Corp · +9–11% · vol 32.9M vs 20.7M avg
BUY CALL
Strike / Exp$150C or $155C · May 15
Entry TriggerTTO pullback to 9 EMA ~$145
Stop / FlipBelow $136–138 open price
Target 1$163 stock → ~+40% option
Target 2$175–185 → ~+120% option
CatalystAI Fusion Apps · RPO $553B · Cloud +44%
Min Payoff Est.+40%
entry+40% T1+120% T2
52W high $345 vs current ~$150. RSI 38 = oversold + bouncing. Analyst avg PT $246. +10pt RS over SPY today.
Defense AI · ER May 11
PLTR
Palantir · ~$128–133 · 52W: $85–$207
BUY CALL
Strike / Exp$130C or $135C · May 8
Entry TriggerReclaim + hold VWAP ~$130 on 15m
Stop / Flip$122.68 (today's LOD) — Level 2
Target 1$148 (+15%) → ~+60% option
Target 2$162 (month HOD) → ~+120%
Vega NoteER May 11 = IV expansion tailwind
Min Payoff Est.+60%
entry+60% T1+120% T2
NATO $1.4T defense build. Cathie Wood bought dip Apr 10. Vol 116M vs 51M avg = institutional confirmation.
MRVL
Marvell Technology · ~$128 · +20% in 5 days
BUY CALL
Strike / Exp$130C · May 8
Entry TriggerTTO to VWAP / 9 EMA on 15m
Stop / FlipBelow $120 (50%er of 5-day run)
Target 1$148 (+15.6%) → ~+55%
Target 2$158 (+23%) → ~+100%
Sector RSSemis cap-equip +24% YTD vs XLK −6%
Min Payoff Est.+55%
entry+55% T1+100% T2
Only IT sub-sector outperforming in 2026. +29.7% in April. Institutional accumulation signal.
SPY Puts
S&P 500 hedge · ~$679 · Gap-fail reversal
BUY PUT
Strike / Exp$678P or $675P · Apr 17
Entry TriggerRejection wick off $679–682 gap mid
Stop / Flip$685 hold = thesis invalid, flip calls
Target 1$672 support → ~+35%
Target 2$666 MA cluster → ~+80%
EdgePolymarket 79% odds down close today
Min Payoff Est.+35%
entry+35% T1+80% T2
Portfolio hedge vs energy longs. Short expiry keeps Theta manageable. IV elevated — size accordingly.
📊ETFs & Index Options
2 setups
Highest Conviction · FTFC Full Bull
XLE / USO
Energy ETF / Oil · WTI $104 · PMG Active · Sector +18–38% YTD
BUY CALL
Strike / ExpUSO $85C · XLE $92C · May 16
Entry TriggerReclaim $104.50 WTI / TTO to 9 EMA
Stop / FlipBelow $101 WTI — Level 2 structural stop
Target 1$107 WTI → ~+35%
Target 2$115 WTI (BF upper) → ~+120%
FTFC StatusQ / M / W / D all green — full continuity
Min Payoff Est.+35%
entry+35% T1+120% T2
OPEC output sharply down. Saudi Manifa + E-W pipeline disrupted. Use ITM calls (Delta ≥0.65) to defend against IV crush on ceasefire headline.
QQQ
Nasdaq 100 · ~$611 · TTO bounce off $582 key level
BUY CALL
Strike / Exp$610C · Apr 24 or May 1
OTE FVG Zone$607–$611 pullback re-entry
Stop / Flip$602.68 LOD — Delta Bleed below this
Target 1$622 prior WHD → ~+25%
Target 2$637 (52W high test) → ~+70%
Gamma Flip$590 = structural support · $610 = pin
Min Payoff Est.+25%
entry+25% T1+70% T2
Dealer gamma concentration at $610. FTFC requires weekly candle to flip green — confirm before adding beyond starter.
🪙Commodities
2 setups
Safe-Haven + Inflation Hedge
GLD / XAU
Gold · spot ~$4,733 · 52W: $3,120–$5,595 · +47% YoY
BUY CALL
Strike / ExpGLD $450C or $455C · May 15
Entry TriggerReclaim $4,785 (50%er retest) + hold
OTE Zone$4,731–$4,752 (50% Fib support)
Stop / Flip$4,595 (next Fib floor) — Level 2
Target 1$4,883 (200 SMA) → ~+20%
Target 2$5,131 (BF upper) → ~+80%
Min Payoff Est.+20%
entry+20% T1+80% T2
CPI 3.3% = hot inflation confirmed. Volume void $4,937–$5,012 = gap-fill rocket above $4,883. CB gold buying accelerating globally.
WTI / CL
Crude Oil Futures · ~$104 · Hormuz PMG · UCO calls
BUY CALL CFD
ContractMay 2026 CL futures / UCO ETF calls
Entry TriggerHold above $103 on 15m 2-up candle
Stop / Flip$101 close = exit ALL energy positions
Target 1$108 (+3.8%) → ~+35%
Target 2$115 (+10%) → ~+100%+
Tail RiskCeasefire = instant IV crush on all energy
Min Payoff Est.+35%
entry+35% T1+100% T2
Saudi Manifa + E-W Pipeline both disrupted. OPEC March output plunged. Hormuz effectively closed. Take T1 before news windows.
₿Crypto
2 setups
Clarity Act · Senate Vote This Week
BTC / IBIT
Bitcoin · ~$71,600 · Best week since Oct 2025
CATALYST PLAY
Strike / ExpIBIT $58C or $60C · May 15
Entry TriggerBTC reclaims $72,500 on 4H 2-up candle
OTE / Strat-Hole$69,000–$71,000 re-entry zone
Stop / Flip$69,000 — weekly 50%er structural stop
Target 1$75,000 BTC → ~+35% IBIT option
Target 2$80,000 (BF upper) → ~+90%
Min Payoff (Confirmed Entry)+35%
entry+35% T1+90% T2
Circle +9%, Coinbase +2% on Clarity Act optimism. Do NOT enter before $72,500 trigger confirmed. BTC/Gold correlation elevated.
ETH / ETHA
Ethereum · Correlated to BTC + stablecoin ruling
CATALYST PLAY
Strike / ExpETHA ATM calls · May 15
Entry TriggerETH holds weekly 50%er on 4H flip
Stop / FlipBreak below weekly open = full exit
Target 1+15–20% ETH → ~+40% option
Target 2BF upper boundary → ~+80%
CatalystClarity Act covers USDC/ETH ecosystem
Min Payoff Est.+40%
entry+40% T1+80% T2
Secondary to BTC — confirm BTC trigger first. Stablecoin Clarity Act directly covers USDC/ETH ecosystem.
💱Forex
3 setups
USD Weakness · DXY 98.79
EUR/USD
Euro · ~1.1520 · Energy shock drag
LONG EUR
Entry ZoneBuy dips to $1.1500 / 50%er
Stop / FlipBelow $1.1450 — invalidated
Target 1$1.1700 → ~+17% (10x)
Target 2$1.20 Q2 → ~+25%+
Analyst PTRBC: 1.20 end-2026
Leveraged Payoff (10×)+17%+
entry+17%+25%
Longs unwound = reduced overhang. ECB resisting tightening. De-escalation → faster return to 1.18–1.20.
GBP/USD
Cable · ~$1.3450 · 2-month highs
LONG GBP
Entry ZoneBuy $1.3350–$1.3400 TTO zone
Stop / FlipBelow $1.3280 — structural stop
Target 1$1.3500 → ~+15%+ (10x)
Target 2$1.3600 Q3 → ~+25%
BoE Note22bp hikes priced — GBP support
Leveraged Payoff (10×)+15%+
entry+15%+25%
Cleanest FX setup per analyst consensus. Persistent recovery on multi-day USD weakness leg.
USD/JPY
Dollar-Yen · ~$158–160 · BoJ zone
SHORT USD/JPY
Entry ZoneSell rallies to $159–160
Stop / FlipAbove $161 — BoJ fails
Target 1$156 → ~+20% leveraged
Target 2$152 Q3/Q4 → ~+50%
Analyst PTMUFG: USD/JPY 146 end-2026
Leveraged Payoff (10×)+20%+
entry+20%+50%
160 = historical BoJ intervention threshold. Japan 95% oil-import dependent. MUFG: 146 end-2026.
⚡ 2-Minute Trend Shift Alert Protocol
Triggers activate on >5% move within any 2-minute candle frame. Act on confirmed close only.
▲ WTI CRUDE — BULL
Break above $105: PMG cascade active. Scale into XLE/USO calls. Stop $103.50. T2: $112–115.
▲ ORCL — BULL
Break above $157 (+5%): 2-up continuation. Add to May $155C. HOD = trailing stop.
▲ PLTR — BULL
Break above $139 on vol >20M/2-min: PMG. Enter $135C May 8. Stop = 50%er of trigger candle.
▲ BTC — BULL
Surge above $75,000: Clarity Act PMG. Add IBIT calls. Trail stop to $72,500.
▲ GOLD — BULL
XAU breaks above $4,883 (200 SMA): Volume void active. Gap-fill to $5,012+ likely.
▼ WTI CRUDE — STOP HIT
Drop below $101: Level 2 stop. Exit ALL energy positions immediately. Ceasefire in play.
▼ SPY — BEAR
Drop below $672: Delta Bleed confirmed. Add $675P. Target $666 MA cluster.
▼ QQQ — STRUCTURAL FAIL
Drop below $602: Exit QQQ calls. Flip: $600P targeting $590 gamma flip level.
⚠ USD/JPY — CAUTION
Approaches $160.00: BoJ intervention window open. Hard stop above $161.
⚠ CEASEFIRE HEADLINE — FLIP PLAN
U.S.-Iran ceasefire: IV crush on WTI/XLE/GLD. Exit energy/gold calls. Flip to SPY $685C.
Option Greeks — Risk Overlay
Today's environment requires Greek-aware position management across all setups.
Δ
Delta
MIXED DIRECTIONAL
Whipsaw today — Nasdaq +0.7% vs Dow −0.7%. Go directional ONLY on RS leaders. Delta-neutral spreads on broad indices.
Γ
Gamma
VERY HIGH
PMG risk in energy — cascading stops probable. Short-Gamma dangerous. Prefer long calls. Starter size only near expiry.
Θ
Theta
THETA TRAP RISK
Avoid ATM at 50%er equilibrium. Capital erodes while market decides. Use May expiry minimum. Exit stagnating positions.
V
Vega
EXTREME
IV elevated across ALL assets. Use ITM options (Delta >0.60). Take T1 profits before any potential IV crush event.
WJB TRADES
⚠️ Educational purposes only — not financial advice. Options involve substantial risk of loss. FX payoffs assume 10× leverage for illustration. Never risk more than 2% of account equity per trade.
Apr 13, 2026 · v4.0
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